The risk screen
If we do not do this work, what is the risk?
Every discretionary item is scored on your own matrix for the risk of leaving it undone. Score high enough and it is included on risk, no economics required. That is the easy half, and most scope challenges stop there.
Where it gets sharper
The half most people skip: we also score the risk if the work IS done. Where an item scores high but the proposed work does not actually reduce the risk, it does not get included on risk. Doing work that does not change the risk is not a reason to do the work, and until you record both numbers you cannot see the difference.